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Merk Research

As part of Merk's in-house research we regularly evaluate a consistent set of charts covering the economy, equities, fixed income, commodities and currencies. The aim is to keep our eyes open and to look through the noise of the headlines, avoiding the distractions of sensationalized click-bait. In sharing this content, we offer a cross-check to your own thinking and aim to add value to your own process.

Today's topic: the business cycle. History suggests a recession is unlikely to start within the next six months, but...

We invite you to download a copy of the chart book (PDF); or to view the video:

We are working hard to make these chart books available to you, but, as you might imagine, have considerable cost in preparing them. By becoming premium subscribers, you can support this project. Axel's Take is Merk President & CIO's 'in between the lines' reading of what these charts mean; whereas the chart books try to data speak for themselves, Axel expands on his views, in this case on where markets may be heading and what it might mean for investors. If you subscribe now, the price is only $10 a month for access to all premium reports that also include select premium chart books and other benefits. You can cancel any time. Click here to view Axel's Take. For a limited time, we are providing Axel's Take for free if you use the custom link below.


The investing audience should view this content in the context of their individual investment process, time-horizon, and goals.


Publication Date Chart Book Category PDF Video Additional
July 18, 2018 U.S. Equity Market
July 12, 2018 Business Cycle
June 14, 2018 U.S. Equity Market
June 13, 2018 Fed Chart Book
June 6, 2018 Business Cycle
May 23, 2018 U.S. Inflation
May 16, 2018 U.S. Equity Market
May 9, 2018 Business Cycle  
May 2, 2018 Fed Chart Book  
April 19, 2018 U.S. Equity Market  
April 10, 2018 Business Cycle  
March 21, 2018 U.S. Equity Market  
March 14, 2018 Business Cycle  
February 14, 2018 U.S. Equity Market  
February 7, 2018 Business Cycle  
January 17, 2018 U.S. Equity Market    
January 10, 2018 Business Cycle    
December 12, 2017 Business Cycle    
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